Im-Politic: Signs of Hopeless Division or Potential Unity?

This post was originally published on this sitePolls like today’s Gallup survey that try to assess what national issues and problems are foremost in American’s minds are terrifically valuable, especially as big elections like the 2020 presidential race approach. Trouble is, Democrats and Republicans and independents of all kinds will struggle to find clear trends … Read moreIm-Politic: Signs of Hopeless Division or Potential Unity?

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Manufacturing’s Productivity Leaders Continue to Surprise

This post was originally published on this siteOne of my favorite sets of U.S. government statistics came out this morning – “Productivity and costs by industry: manufacturing and mining industries.” However boring it sounds, it’s useful because it sheds lots of light on which specific sectors within domestic American manufacturing should be seen as winners … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Manufacturing’s Productivity Leaders Continue to Surprise

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: A New North American Trade Study’s Crucial Footnote

This post was originally published on this siteThat was some footnote Commissioner Jason E. Kearns apparently insisted be inserted into the U.S. International Trade Commission’s (USITC) recent report on the economic impact of the Trump administration’s attempt to rewrite the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). In fact, it contains the key to giving this … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: A New North American Trade Study’s Crucial Footnote

Im-Politic: Exonerating Mueller on Not Exonerating Trump

This post was originally published on this siteSo many legal and Constitutional issues are raised in Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s report on Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election and on the possibility that President Trump or any of his aides and associates obstructed justice either before or during the Mueller investigation that they can’t … Read moreIm-Politic: Exonerating Mueller on Not Exonerating Trump

Following Up: Podcast Now On-Line of Last Night’s China Trade Talks Radio Interview

This post was originally published on this siteI’m pleased to announce that the podcast is now on-line of my interview last night on John Batchelor’s nationally syndicated radio show.  Click here for a timely discussion of the fast-moving U.S.-China trade talks with John, co-host Gordon G. Chang, and me.  Special bonus:  The segment spotlights my … Read moreFollowing Up: Podcast Now On-Line of Last Night’s China Trade Talks Radio Interview

Making News: Back on National Radio – as China Trade Talks Near an End?

This post was originally published on this siteI’m pleased to announce that tonight I’m scheduled to return to John Batchelor’s nationally syndicated radio show to help provide an update on the fast-moving U.S.-China trade talks – which could be entering their final stages.  Click here to listen live on-line to what’s sure to be a … Read moreMaking News: Back on National Radio – as China Trade Talks Near an End?

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: The New Data Contain More Good Trade News for Trump – & the Economy

This post was originally published on this siteThe most reasonable conclusion to draw from today’s new U.S. trade figures (which cover February) is that, although evidence keeps growing that President Trump’s trade policies are returning to a success track, even only a fairly clearcut verdict won’t be possible until the March numbers come in. The … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: The New Data Contain More Good Trade News for Trump – & the Economy

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Why Tariffs are Off the Hook for Manufacturing’s Slowdown

This post was originally published on this siteHere’s all you need to know to recognize that domestic U.S. manufacturing is experiencing some kind of slowdown: Today’s real output numbers from the Federal Reserve showed that production flat-lined on month in March. And that was a significant improvement from the comparable February figure – a 0.37 … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Why Tariffs are Off the Hook for Manufacturing’s Slowdown

Im-Politic: “Mayor Pete’s” Fuzzy Turnaround Record

This post was originally published on this site“Mayor Pete” Buttigieg’s now officially running for the Democratic nomination for President, and before long we’ll see if he can make the transformation from precocious (37-year old) “flavor of the moment” and all-purpose vessel for so many anti-Trump hopes to durable candidate. I’m hesitant to say, because I … Read moreIm-Politic: “Mayor Pete’s” Fuzzy Turnaround Record

Im-Politic: Trump Should Go All-in on Sanctuary Jurisdiction Shaming

This post was originally published on this siteAnyone doubting the political and moral genius of President Trump’s so-called threat to transport the migrants flooding the U.S. border to sanctuary jurisdictions throughout the country simply lacks a grip on politics and crucial aspects of morals. At the same time, the President has been missing a potentially … Read moreIm-Politic: Trump Should Go All-in on Sanctuary Jurisdiction Shaming

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Real Wages are Still Far from Great Again – Especially in Manufacturing

This post was originally published on this siteNo doubt about it – this week’s government report on U.S. real wages was a dog. (No offense to canine lovers – of which I’m one!) And the news, as usually the case, was particularly bad for manufacturing workers, as their inflation-adjusted hourly pay in March dipped back … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Real Wages are Still Far from Great Again – Especially in Manufacturing

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Signs That No Tariffs-Led Inflation is the New Norm

This post was originally published on this siteWith inflation in the United States still running below the Federal Reserve’s target lately, it’s been difficult enough for tariff fear-mongers to claim that President Trump’s levies on metals and on many Chinese-made goods are setting prices throughout the economy – or even in directly affected sectors – … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Signs That No Tariffs-Led Inflation is the New Norm

Im-Politic: Biden’s Real Problem(s) with Women

This post was originally published on this siteAs long as Joe Biden remains in the potential or actual 2020 presidential election game, Americans will be debating the propriety of his longstanding touchy-feely style of dealing with women in particular, and how best to respond to these and similar situations and charges. As usual, opinion (at … Read moreIm-Politic: Biden’s Real Problem(s) with Women

Im-Politic: The Washington Post’s Nazi-Baiting on Trump & Immigration

This post was originally published on this siteJust when I think that I couldn’t become angrier at the bile spewed by some of President Trump’s critics and too often reported as fact or respectable, newsworthy opinion by the Mainstream Media, Trump Derangement Syndrome sufferers keep topping themselves. And this morning I saw a series of … Read moreIm-Politic: The Washington Post’s Nazi-Baiting on Trump & Immigration

Im-Politic: Why His Adversaries Could be Underestimating Trump Again

This post was originally published on this siteAlthough the Democratic Party often seems to have gone identity politics-crazy, even many in its identity-obsessed progressive wing believe that President Trump won’t be defeated in the 2020 Presidential election unless the party improves its performance with non-college educated white voters, many of whom work in so-called blue … Read moreIm-Politic: Why His Adversaries Could be Underestimating Trump Again

Making News: China Trade Talks National Radio Interview Podcast Now On-Line…& More!

This post was originally published on this siteI’m pleased to announce that the podcast of my Thursday night interview on John Batchelor’s nationally syndicated radio show is now on-line.  Click here for a timely update on the fast-moving U.S.-China trade talks provided by John, me, and co-host Gordon G. Chang. And to follow up, yesterday, … Read moreMaking News: China Trade Talks National Radio Interview Podcast Now On-Line…& More!

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Hold the Gloating on Tariffs and Manufacturing Jobs

This post was originally published on this siteEven though today’s March U.S. jobs figures overall improved dramatically on their February counterparts, the employment story in domestic manufacturing remained remarkably similar: Generally speaking the results were dismal. But the internals still don’t reveal any connection with President Trump’s tariff-heavy trade policies. Let’s start by reviewing the … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Hold the Gloating on Tariffs and Manufacturing Jobs

Glad I Didn’t Say That! The IMF’s Muddled Message on Trade and Productivity Growth

This post was originally published on this site“[S]ince the mid-1990s….declining tariffs have lifted [worldwide] productivity ….” –International Monetary Fund, April, 2019 “Over the past decade, there have been sharp slowdowns in [worldwide] measured output per worker and total factor productivity….Even before the global financial crisis, productivity growth was slowing in many advanced economies, such as … Read moreGlad I Didn’t Say That! The IMF’s Muddled Message on Trade and Productivity Growth

Making News: Back on National Radio to Update the China Trade Talks…& More!

This post was originally published on this siteI’m pleased to announce that I’m scheduled to appear twice tonight on the broadcast media on trade-related issues. At 8:10 PM EST, I’m slated to be interviewed on Israel’s i24News on President Trump’s recent threat to close the U.S.-Mexico border (or at least parts of it) in response … Read moreMaking News: Back on National Radio to Update the China Trade Talks…& More!

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Why a China Trade Deal Still Looks Unenforceable

This post was originally published on this siteYesterday’s Financial Times contained the latest in a long string of press reports – often coming after similar administration pronouncements – that the United States and China are close to concluding a deal that will resolve much and even most of their current trade conflict. Even with Chinese … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Why a China Trade Deal Still Looks Unenforceable

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: More Signs That U.S. Metals’ Tariffs are Winning

This post was originally published on this siteAs known by readers of RealityChek, President Trump’s tariffs on metals have worked out impressively since their imposition in March, 2018. Specifically, domestic output in tariff-ed steel and aluminum has rebounded impressively, and employment has increased, too. Price inflation has been contained. And partly as a result, production … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: More Signs That U.S. Metals’ Tariffs are Winning

Im-Politic: After Mueller/Barr, Can Trump Be Trump?

This post was originally published on this siteA week ago, I posted on the likely political impact of the end of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation of what have become known as the Trump-Russia scandals and of the release of Attorney General William P. Barr’s summary of its principal conclusions – which appear to put … Read moreIm-Politic: After Mueller/Barr, Can Trump Be Trump?

Our So-Called Foreign Policy: Why the Venezuela Crisis is Getting Really Scary

This post was originally published on this siteNo one who lived through it or knows about it (me in both cases) would ever say lightly, “The X situation reminds me of the Cuban Missile Crisis.” So that’s at least one reason to be very worried about the largely under-the-radar situation that’s been unfolding in Venezuela … Read moreOur So-Called Foreign Policy: Why the Venezuela Crisis is Getting Really Scary

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: New Trade Figures Indicate Trump Progress Back on Track

This post was originally published on this siteOf course it’s a coincidence – but what a coincidence! The same week that the Special Counsel and the Attorney General have issued highly favorable reports about President Trump’s alleged campaign collusion with Russia and related obstruction of justice charges, the Census Bureau has issued a monthly U.S. … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: New Trade Figures Indicate Trump Progress Back on Track

Im-Politic: Mueller, Barr, and Beyond

This post was originally published on this siteYesterday, Attorney General William P. Barr released his summary of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation of the Trump presidential campaign’s “links and/or coordination” with the Russian government, and of related obstruction of justice charges. The big takeaways: In the Mueller report’s own words, the investigation “did not establish … Read moreIm-Politic: Mueller, Barr, and Beyond

Making News: Quoted in the Washington Post Magazine — & More!

This post was originally published on this siteI’m pleased to report a nice little spate of media appearances over the last few days. Most were generated by journalist John B. Judis’ piece in the Washington Post Magazine on how Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown’s decision to skip the 2020 presidential race might have cost the Democrats … Read moreMaking News: Quoted in the Washington Post Magazine — & More!

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: U.S. Productivity Growth Improves, but Remains Historically Weak

This post was originally published on this siteThroughout the NCAA men’s college basketball tournament that began today, productivity across America is supposed to swoon, as fans in droves periodically shunt aside work to see how their picks in office betting pools are faring. According to the federal government, however, it’s possible that the March Madness … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: U.S. Productivity Growth Improves, but Remains Historically Weak

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Politico’s Failed Takedown of Trump’s Auto Jobs Policies

This post was originally published on this siteLet’s all hope that Politico doesn’t start a new publication called “Economico.” Because its latest venture into economic policy reporting – yesterday’s examination of President Trump’s trade-centric approach to strengthening America’s automotive industry – had about as much in common with sound economic analysis as Beto O’Rourke’s current … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Politico’s Failed Takedown of Trump’s Auto Jobs Policies

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: New U.S. Pay Figures Show a Recent Fade – Especially in Manufacturing

This post was originally published on this siteThis morning the federal government released one of the more unusual takes on Americans’ pay that we regularly see – the latest quarterly report on “Employer Costs for Employee Compensation (ECEC).” It’s unusual because it measures not only wages and salaries, but non-wage benefits. And that’s something of … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: New U.S. Pay Figures Show a Recent Fade – Especially in Manufacturing

Making News: Detailed Breitbart Report on Last Week’s Globalism Radio Interview

This post was originally published on this siteI’m pleased to announce that that “Breitbart News Tonight” radio interview of mine last Friday on the recent Washington Post tome defending globalism was featured today on the Breitbart “print” website.  You might be especially interested in this detailed summary by Breitbart reporter John Binder in part because … Read moreMaking News: Detailed Breitbart Report on Last Week’s Globalism Radio Interview

Im-Politic: Why White Supremacist Terrorism has Become a Top Priority Threat

This post was originally published on this siteThe great 20th century economist John Maynard Keynes is widely thought to have said in response to a challenge to his consistency, “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do?…” I’ve always thought that’s great advice in life generally, and in particular for anyone … Read moreIm-Politic: Why White Supremacist Terrorism has Become a Top Priority Threat

Making News: Podcast On-Line of a New National Radio Interview on Globalism…& More!

This post was originally published on this siteI’m pleased to announce that a podcast of a national radio interview from last night is now on-line.  Conducted by the folks at Breitbart News Tonight, it addresses the wide range of issues raised by a (revealingly) humongous article by Robert Kagan defending globalist approaches to domestic and … Read moreMaking News: Podcast On-Line of a New National Radio Interview on Globalism…& More!

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: The Fed Just Showed that Tariff Alarmism Needs to Wait (At Least) Another Month

This post was originally published on this siteThe Federal Reserve’s new industrial production figures (for February) follow a pattern that’s begun to emerge lately. They provide evidence that the domestic U.S. manufacturing sector is shifting into a slower gear. But they offer scarcely any reason to believe that President Trump’s tariff-centric trade policies are behind … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: The Fed Just Showed that Tariff Alarmism Needs to Wait (At Least) Another Month

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: A Deep Dive Doesn’t Find Any Tariff-Led Consumer Inflation, Either

This post was originally published on this siteI decided to do something special for my regular analysis of the new U.S. consumer inflation figures (for February) and what they say about President Trump’s tariff-centric trade policies. Mainly because we now have four months worth of data on the prices of goods sectors where imports from … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: A Deep Dive Doesn’t Find Any Tariff-Led Consumer Inflation, Either

Making News: Podcast On-Line of Last Night’s National Radio Trade War Interview

This post was originally published on this siteI’m pleased to announce that the podcast is now on-line of my interview last night on John Batchelor’s nationally syndicated radio show on the U.S.-China trade conflict.  Click here for a great 5-way discussion (!) involving John, co-host Gordon G. Chang, me, plus some surprise participants! And keep … Read moreMaking News: Podcast On-Line of Last Night’s National Radio Trade War Interview

Following Up: Back Indeed on National Radio Tonight Talking China!

This post was originally published on this siteI just got the word that I will indeed be appearing tonight on John Batchelor’s nationally syndicated radio show to update the U.S.-China trade war story with John and co-host Gordon G. Chang.  And the segment will focus in particular on my new piece for The National Interest … Read moreFollowing Up: Back Indeed on National Radio Tonight Talking China!

Making News: A New Op-Ed on Trump China Policy…& Back on National Radio Tonight?

This post was originally published on this siteI haven’t been posting as much lately as usual, in part because I’ve had to fulfill some outside writing commitments.  So I’m especially pleased to report that one of these assignments was just posted by The National Interest.  The article explains why, despite his chaotic approach, President Trump … Read moreMaking News: A New Op-Ed on Trump China Policy…& Back on National Radio Tonight?

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Bullish Signals from Manufacturing About the U.S. Economy

This post was originally published on this siteU.S. machine tool orders – for anyone who’s not a manufacturing junkie, could anything sound more boring? And yet, because machine tools of various kinds are what manufacturers use to make a wide range of industrial products, their sales are a key indicator of the sector’s health, and … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Bullish Signals from Manufacturing About the U.S. Economy

Our So-Called Foreign Policy: Trump’s Acting Like Uncle Sucker on Alliance Burden-Sharing

This post was originally published on this siteWhile much of the world is on pins and needles wondering whether President Trump will reach a big trade deal with China and how it will impact the U.S. economy and global commerce, Mr. Trump’s negotiating reputation has also been on the line on another major international front … Read moreOur So-Called Foreign Policy: Trump’s Acting Like Uncle Sucker on Alliance Burden-Sharing

Making News: New Op-Ed on Why Trump is Still Winning on Trade

This post was originally published on this siteI’m pleased to announce the publication of a new freelance article of mine.  This morning, The Washington Times posted my op-ed explaining why the huge increase in the monthly and annual U.S. trade deficits reported on Wednesday masked some surprising trends.  Specifically, the data made clear that President … Read moreMaking News: New Op-Ed on Why Trump is Still Winning on Trade

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Why the Lousy February Jobs Numbers Don’t Vindicate Tariff Alarmism

This post was originally published on this siteThe stunningly poor February overall and manufacturing jobs figures released by the Labor Department today surely caused rejoicing in the ranks of America’s trade alarmists. Here, finally, was evidence that President Trump’s tariff-centric policies are backfiring on the U.S. economy and especially its manufacturing sector. Actually, however, the … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Why the Lousy February Jobs Numbers Don’t Vindicate Tariff Alarmism

(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Pssst! Some Good News on Productivity!

This post was originally published on this siteHere’s a peculiar new twist in ongoing media coverage and more general establishment commentary on the U.S. economy: The conventional wisdom among both these intertwined crowds holds that the American trade deficit doesn’t matter much economically. Yet the apparently poor trade numbers reported yesterday by the Census Bureau … Read more(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Pssst! Some Good News on Productivity!